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El Niño More Likely To Return This Summer

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

A weather pattern that could bring cooler temperatures and more rain to Texas is likely to develop this month or next, according to climate forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

“There is increased confidence for a weak-to-moderate during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2012-13,â€� NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center . “El Niño conditions are likely to develop during August or September 2012.â€� In June, NOAA predicted only a that El Niño would return in the second half of the year. El Niño creates unusually warm temperatures in the equatorial Pacific.

NOAA also updated today, suggesting we may have a “busy second halfâ€� of hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin. They expect 12 to 17 tropical storms by November, including five to eight hurricanes, of which two to three could strengthen into major hurricanes. Tropical Storm Ernesto is currently spinning in the Gulf of Mexico and headed to a flood-prone inland area in the of Mexico, 

As StateImpact Texas , Texas needs just the right kind of storms, moist enough to drench , but not powerful enough to erode the coastline, which is currently receding at an average rate of . 

Nathan Bernier is the transportation reporter at KUT. He covers the big projects that are reshaping how we get around Austin, like the I-35 overhaul, the airport's rapid growth and the multibillion-dollar transit expansion Project Connect. He also focuses on the daily changes that affect how we walk, bike and drive around the city. Got a tip? Email him at [email protected]. Follow him on X .
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